How soon do you think Scotland will be independent?
Question details
"Regardless of whether you support or oppose independence, which of these is closest to your view?"
Survey years
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14 January 2015:
Panelbase
survey for Sunday Times and Real Radio
with 1007 respondents,
18 and older.
Further info
-
02 April 2015:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1006 respondents,
18 and older.
Further info
-
10 September 2015:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1005 respondents,
18 and older.
Further info
-
14 January 2016:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1053 respondents,
18 and older.
Further info
-
15 April 2016:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1021 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
28 April 2016:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1021 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
26 June 2016:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 626 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
15 September 2016:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1024 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
The figures were originally reported as 37% within next 5 to 10 years, 24% not any point. The poll was subsequently reweighted by Panelbase and the figures amended to those now shown.
-
26 January 2017:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1020 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
17 March 2017:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1008 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
21 April 2017:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1029 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
31 May 2017:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1021 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
07 June 2017:
Panelbase
survey for The Times
with 1106 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
07 September 2017:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1021 respondents,
18 and older.
Further info
-
28 March 2018:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1037 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
13 June 2018:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1021 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
04 October 2018:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1024 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
05 December 2018:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1028 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
24 April 2019:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1018 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
17 May 2019:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1018 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
20 June 2019:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1024 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
11 October 2019:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1003 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
22 November 2019:
Panelbase
survey for The Sunday Times
with 1009 respondents,
16 and older.
Further info
-
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End Date Jan 2015 Apr 2015 Sep 2015 Jan 2016 Apr 2016 Apr 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Jan 2017 Mar 2017 Apr 2017 May 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Oct 2018 Dec 2018 Apr 2019 May 2019 Jun 2019 Oct 2019 Nov 2019 I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next five to ten years 26% 25% 31% 28% 30% 30% 52% 35% 38% 44% 41% 38% 37% 29% 27% 31% 29% 33% 34% 35% 38% 39% 39% ...but not for at least 10 to 15 years 21% 25% 24% 27% 24% 22% 10% 18% 16% 11% 13% 15% 16% 20% 19% 18% 19% 17% 17% 18% 19% 16% 15% ...but not for at least 20 to 30 years 11% 14% 12% 12% 11% 13% 3% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 8% 8% 9% 9% 7% 7% I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades 32% 25% 22% 23% 26% 25% 21% 26% 27% 26% 28% 28% 26% 32% 30% 28% 30% 30% 29% 27% 24% 27% 27% Don't know 10% 11% 10% 9% 10% 10% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 13% 9% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11%
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