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Maybe Yes, Maybe No? New YouGov and Panelbase Polls

7th September 2014

Last Tuesday YouGov, hitherto a company that had painted a pessimistic picture of the Yes side’s prospects of winning on 18th September, generated considerable excitement by publishing a poll that showed an eight point swing from No to Yes in just a month. Today they have gone one better by being the first company in […]


Poll of Polls: 5 September

7th September 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on three polls by YouGov,  two by Panelbase and one by Survation,  The polls were conducted between 12 August and 5 September.    


Will the gender gap narrow? Findings from 2011 and Quebec

3rd September 2014

The ‘gender gap’ in support for independence has become one of the best known features of Scotland’s political landscape in the run up to the referendum. Women have long been less likely than men to support independence. Even when the polls narrow – as in recent weeks they have – women remain less likely to […]


YouGov Report Dramatic Swing to Yes

2nd September 2014

For the most of the referendum campaign, the picture painted by the polls has been one of relative stability.  The results produced by a company in one month have often been much the same as those it had reported the previous month – and were often much the same as those that eventually appeared the […]


Poll of Polls: 1 September

1st September 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, two by YouGov,  one by ICM and one by Panelbase,  The polls were conducted between 6 August and 1 September.


Could the ‘Missing Million’ Swing It to Yes?

1st September 2014

Faced with opinion polls that continue unrelentingly to put the No side ahead, albeit by differing margins, the Yes side appears to be putting its faith in the so-called ‘missing million’. The term is used somewhat loosely; sometimes it refers to those who are eligible to vote but are not on the electoral register and […]


Yes Bounce Back in Survation Post BBC Debate Poll

29th August 2014

Initially, the first regular poll to be conduced since the second leaders’ debate – by Survation for today’s Daily Mail – looks like very good news for the Yes side. But in truth its real message is that collectively at least the two leaders’ debates have apparently failed to change the balance of support for […]


Poll of Polls: 28 August

28th August 2014

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by Survation, two by YouGov,  one by ICM and one by Panelbase,  The polls were conducted between 4 and 28 August.


Is education policy driving Scotland and England apart?

27th August 2014

There is an assumption in public debate that – regardless of the outcome of the referendum – devolution has already caused Scotland and England to drift apart, and especially in education policy. The best-known of all the policy divergence is on student fees. In university classes now in Scotland there are students paying nothing and […]


Salmond Wins Round Two

26th August 2014

An instant poll of 505 people who watched the second and last leaders’ debate between Mr Salmond and Mr Darling last night suggests that, in contrast to the first debate three weeks ago, Mr Salmond was widely regarded as the winner of the joust. However, the poll, conducted by ICM and commissioned by The Guardian, […]


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