How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?

Fieldwork dates: 18 January 2021 - 19 August 2022
Data from: Wales
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?
Fieldwork end date Pollster	19 August 2022 Poll by YouGov	21 January 2021 Poll by YouGov
Very likely	14%	15%
Quite likely	34%	34%
Neither likely nor unlikely	15%	16%
Quite unlikely	17%	15%
Very unlikely	9%	8%
Don't know	12%	12%

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country? (Welsh views)

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Topics

How Scotland should be governed What Britain thinks about the Union