If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on Welsh independence, how likely would you be to vote?  

Fieldwork dates: 15 April 2023 - 19 May 2024
Data from: Wales
Results from: 13 polls

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Results for: If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on Welsh independence, how likely would you be to vote?  
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
19 May 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
19 May 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
24 March 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
18 February 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
26 January 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
11 December 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
13 November 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
15 October 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
14 August 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
16 July 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
18 June 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
15 May 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
17 April 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 (Certain to vote) 60% 57% 54% 60% 57% 59% 57% 58% 53% 55% 58% 55% 59%
4 (Probably will vote) 17% 15% 16% 22% 18% 18% 17% 16% 18% 21% 17% 17% 16%
3 (Leaning towards voting, but might not vote) 8% 7% 10% 8% 8% 9% 8% 11% 11% 8% 9% 9% 9%
2 (Leaning towards not voting, but could vote) 5% 7% 8% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5%
1 (Probably will not vote) 5% 7% 5% 2% 5% 2% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 6% 4%
0 (Definitely will not vote) 5% 8% 7% 4% 7% 5% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 8% 7%

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Poll details

Full question wording

If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on Welsh independence, how likely would you be to vote?  

See About these data for possible variations