If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on Welsh independence, how likely would you be to vote?  

Fieldwork dates: 15 April 2023 - 18 February 2024
Data from: Wales
Results from: 10 polls

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Results for: If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on Welsh independence, how likely would you be to vote?  
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
18 February 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
26 January 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
11 December 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
13 November 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
15 October 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
14 August 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
16 July 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
18 June 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
15 May 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
17 April 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 (Certain to vote)60%57%59%57%58%53%55%58%55%59%
4 (Probably will vote)22%18%18%17%16%18%21%17%17%16%
3 (Leaning towards voting, but might not vote)8%8%9%8%11%11%8%9%9%9%
2 (Leaning towards not voting, but could vote)5%6%7%7%6%6%5%6%5%5%
1 (Probably will not vote)2%5%2%5%4%5%4%3%6%4%
0 (Definitely will not vote)4%7%5%6%5%7%6%6%8%7%

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Full question wording

If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on Welsh independence, how likely would you be to vote?  

See About these data for possible variations