How soon do you think Scotland will be independent?

Fieldwork dates: 9 January 2015 - 26 March 2020
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 25 polls

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Results for: How soon do you think Scotland will be independent?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
26 March 2020
Poll by Norstat
6 December 2019
Poll by Norstat
22 November 2019
Poll by Norstat
11 October 2019
Poll by Norstat
20 June 2019
Poll by Norstat
17 May 2019
Poll by Norstat
24 April 2019
Poll by Norstat
5 December 2018
Poll by Norstat
4 October 2018
Poll by Norstat
13 June 2018
Poll by Norstat
28 March 2018
Poll by Norstat
7 September 2017
Poll by Norstat
7 June 2017
Poll by Norstat
31 May 2017
Poll by Norstat
21 April 2017
Poll by Norstat
17 March 2017
Poll by Norstat
26 January 2017
Poll by Norstat
15 September 2016
Poll by Norstat
26 June 2016
Poll by Norstat
28 April 2016
Poll by Norstat
15 April 2016
Poll by Norstat
14 January 2016
Poll by Norstat
10 September 2015
Poll by Norstat
2 April 2015
Poll by Norstat
14 January 2015
Poll by Norstat
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next five to ten years 37% 37% 39% 39% 38% 35% 34% 33% 29% 31% 27% 29% 37% 38% 41% 44% 38% 35% 52% 30% 30% 28% 31% 25% 26%
...but not for at least 10 to 15 years 20% 18% 15% 16% 19% 18% 17% 17% 19% 18% 19% 20% 16% 15% 13% 11% 16% 18% 10% 22% 24% 27% 24% 25% 21%
...but not for at least 20 to 30 years 8% 9% 7% 7% 9% 9% 8% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 3% 13% 11% 12% 12% 14% 11%
I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades 26% 26% 27% 27% 24% 27% 29% 30% 30% 28% 30% 32% 26% 28% 28% 26% 27% 26% 21% 25% 26% 23% 22% 25% 32%
Don't know 10% 9% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 13% 13% 9% 13% 11% 11% 12% 13% 13% 14% 10% 10% 9% 10% 11% 10%
Refused 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

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Poll details

Full question wording

Regardless of whether you support or oppose independence, which of these is closest to your view?

See About these data for possible variations