How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Wales will leave the UK and become an independent country?

Fieldwork dates: 18 January 2021 - 19 August 2022
Data from: Wales
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Wales will leave the UK and become an independent country?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
19 August 2022
Poll by YouGov
21 January 2021
Poll by YouGov
Very likely 3% 3%
Quite likely 13% 15%
Neither likely nor unlikely 20% 20%
Quite unlikely 26% 28%
Very unlikely 38% 33%

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Poll details

Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Wales will leave the UK and become an independent country? (Welsh views)

See About these data for possible variations