How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?

Fieldwork dates: 8 April 2021 - 2 December 2022
Data from: England & Wales
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
2 December 2022
Poll by Opinium
9 April 2021
Poll by Opinium
Very likely 24% 25%
Likely 31% 43%
Unlikely 28% 24%
Very unlikely 18% 7%

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?

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