How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?

Field work dates: 8 April 2021 - 2 December 2022
Data from: England & Wales
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?
Fieldwork end date Pollster	2 December 2022 Poll by Opinium	9 April 2021 Poll by Opinium
Very likely	24%	25%
Likely	31%	43%
Unlikely	28%	24%
Very unlikely	18%	7%

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?

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Topics

Perceptions of government & the Union