How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?

Field work dates: 8 April 2021 - 2 December 2022
Data from: England & Wales
Results from: 2 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?
Fieldwork end date Pollster	2 December 2022 Poll by Opinium	9 April 2021 Poll by Opinium
Very likely	19%	21%
Likely	25%	36%
Unlikely	22%	20%
Very unlikely	14%	6%
Don’t know	20%	17%

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Poll details

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely to you think it is that Scotland will vote to leave the United Kingdom in the next five years?

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Topics

Perceptions of government & the Union