If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on the existence of the devolved Welsh Parliament, how likely would you be to vote?  (6 point scale)

Fieldwork dates: 19 April 2022 - 19 May 2024
Data from: Wales, Great Britain
Results from: 14 polls

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Results for: If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on the existence of the devolved Welsh Parliament, how likely would you be to vote?  (6 point scale)
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
19 May 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
23 April 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
23 April 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
24 March 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
18 February 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
26 January 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
11 December 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
15 October 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
17 September 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
14 August 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
16 July 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
18 June 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
15 May 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
19 April 2022
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 Certain to vote 58% 48% 48% 51% 56% 54% 56% 56% 42% 50% 53% 54% 53% 55%
4 Probably will vote 18% 24% 24% 18% 25% 18% 20% 17% 27% 18% 20% 18% 18% 15%
3 Leaning towards voting, but might not vote 9% 13% 13% 14% 8% 13% 10% 11% 15% 14% 11% 12% 11% 13%
2 Leaning towards not voting, but could vote 5% 6% 6% 7% 4% 6% 8% 5% 8% 8% 6% 6% 7% 4%
1 Probably will note vote 6% 4% 4% 4% 2% 4% 1% 4% 6% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6%
0 Definitely will not vote 5% 5% 5% 7% 4% 5% 5% 6% 2% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7%

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Poll details

Full question wording

If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on the existence of the devolved Welsh Parliament, how likely would you be to vote?  

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