Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?

Fieldwork dates: 3 March 2021 - 29 April 2022
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 3 polls

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Table

Results for: Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?
Fieldwork end date Pollster	29 April 2022 Poll by Panelbase	1 April 2021 Poll by Panelbase	5 March 2021 Poll by Panelbase
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next five to ten years	37%	40%	38%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 10 or 15 years	17%	17%	17%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 20 or 30 years	8%	7%	8%
I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades	30%	27%	28%
Don't know	9%	9%	9%

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Poll details

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Full question wording

Regardless of whether you support or oppose independence, which of these is closest to your view? I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next five to ten years/ but not for at least 10 or 15 years/ but not for at least 20 or 30 years/ I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades

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