The Scottish independence referendum
The original purpose of this website was to track people’s views on the issue of Scottish independence in the lead-up to the September 2014 referendum.
This section brings together all these historical polls plus more recent ones on whether people think there should be a second Scottish independence referendum – and, if there were, how they would vote in it.
Also see our section on How Scotland should be governed for questions on constitutional preference, including more general questions on whether or not people support Scottish independence.
The original purpose of this website was to track people’s views on the issue of Scottish independence in the lead-up to the September 2014 referendum. This section brings together all these historical polls plus more recent ones on whether people think there should be a second Scottish independence referendum - and, if there were, how they would vote in it. Also see our section on How Scotland should be governed for questions on constitutional preference, including more general questions on whether or not people support Scottish independence.Popular questions on this topic:
- Do you think another Scottish independence referendum should be held in the next 12 months, in the next 2-5 years or there should not be another referendum in the next few years?
3 March 2021 - 29 April 2022, data from Scotland - When do you think another Scottish independence referendum should be held? (asked after the EU referendum)
25 June 2016 - 26 March 2020, data from Scotland - If a referendum asked you to choose between supporting Scotland becoming an independent country, keeping things as they are currently or favouring further significant devolution which would you select?
19 January 2021 - 22 January 2021, data from Scotland - How likely would you be to vote in a referendum on Scottish independence? (1 to 10 scale) (Scottish views)
25 August 2011 - 21 May 2023, data from Scotland, Great Britain - How would you be likely to vote in the referendum if the UK was looking likely to withdraw from the EU?
10 May 2013 - 16 May 2013, data from Scotland - How would you vote in the in the Scottish independence referendum if held now? (asked after the referendum)
27 October 2014 - 4 May 2016, data from Scotland - On a scale of 0 to 10, how likely is it that you would vote in a referendum on Scottish independence? (Scottish views)
12 January 2012 - 3 May 2023, data from Scotland, United Kingdom - When, if ever, do you think there should be another Scottish independence referendum?
11 December 2020 - 31 March 2023, data from Scotland - Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years, 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?
28 April 2021 - 24 February 2023, data from Scotland - Should Scotland be an independent country? (Scottish views)
30 January 2013 - 17 September 2014, data from Scotland, Great Britain, United Kingdom
Latest Comment on this topic:
Runes from the Polls as the SNP Meet Again
26th November 2021
Autumn Leaves
7th October 2021
A Question of Timing
8th September 2021
YouGov Confirm Yes Ahead
12th August 2020
Podcast: Independence polling during COVID-19
17th July 2020
Latest questions on this topic:
- Given the candidates who ran to be the next SNP, do you think that Humza Yousaf is the right or wrong choice?
- Imagine, hypothetically, that the Labour Party were in government in Westminster rather than the Conservatives. To what extent would that affect how you may vote in a future independence referendum?
28 March 2023 - 31 March 2023, data from Scotland - Is Scotland a better or worse country now than it was in 2014, or is it about the same?
28 March 2023 - 31 March 2023, data from Scotland - In fifty years’ time, do you think that Scotland will probably be independent or probably be part of the UK?
9 March 2023 - 13 March 2023, data from Scotland - In ten years’ time, do you think Scotland will probably be independent or probably be part of the UK?
9 March 2023 - 13 March 2023, data from Scotland - If pro-independence parties win more than 50% of the vote in Scotland on a manifesto commitment to negotiate a settlement with the UK Government so that Scotland becomes an independent country, do you agree or disagree they will have a democratic mandate to negotiate an independence settlement with the UK Government?
1 March 2023 - 9 March 2023, data from Scotland