Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years, 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?

Fieldwork dates: 28 April 2021 - 24 February 2023
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 8 polls

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Results for: Do you believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years, 5-10 years, 10-15 years, 20-30 years or not at all in the next few decades?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
24 February 2023
Poll by Norstat
16 December 2022
Poll by Norstat
7 October 2022
Poll by Norstat
1 July 2022
Poll by Norstat
12 November 2021
Poll by Norstat
10 September 2021
Poll by Norstat
24 June 2021
Poll by Norstat
30 April 2021
Poll by Norstat
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years 25% 28% 30% 36% 26% 29% 25% 33%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 5 or 10 years 22% 23% 23% 19% 26% 24% 27% 22%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 10 or 15 years 13% 11% 10% 9% 11% 12% 14% 9%
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent but not for at least 20 or 30 years 8% 7% 7% 4% 7% 4% 7% 7%
I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades 31% 31% 30% 32% 30% 30% 27% 29%

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Full question wording

Regardless of whether you support or oppose independence, which of these is closest to your view? I believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next 5 years/but not for at least 5 to 10 years/ but not for at least 10 or 15 years/ but not for at least 20 or 30 years/ I don't believe Scotland is likely to become independent at any point in the next few decades

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