How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?

Fieldwork dates: 19 January 2021 - 17 August 2022
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 3 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
17 August 2022
Poll by Panelbase
4 February 2022
Poll by Panelbase
22 January 2021
Poll by Panelbase
Very likely21%21%24%
Quite likely26%25%25%
Neither likely nor unlikely12%11%11%
Quite likely15%14%13%
Very unlikely19%21%17%
Don't know8%8%9%

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Poll details

Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that within the next ten years Scotland will leave the UK and become an independent country?

See About these data for possible variations