If there were to be a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote? (6 response options)

Fieldwork dates: 4 August 2021 - 7 April 2024
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 18 polls

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Results for: If there were to be a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote? (6 response options)
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
7 April 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
11 March 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
4 February 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
11 January 2024
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
27 November 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
30 October 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 October 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
4 September 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
6 August 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
2 July 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 June 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
2 May 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
1 April 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 March 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 March 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
27 November 2022
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
18 September 2021
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 August 2021
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 (Certain to vote) 61% 73% 72% 66% 68% 71% 68% 75% 74% 70% 74% 75% 69% 72% 72% 78% 78% 77%
4 (Probably will vote) 15% 12% 13% 15% 15% 13% 11% 11% 14% 12% 11% 13% 12% 14% 14% 14% 11% 12%
3 (Leaning towards voting, but might not vote) 9% 6% 5% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 2% 5% 4%
2 (Leaning towards not voting, but could vote) 4% 2% 3% 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 8% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2%
1 (Probably will not vote) 5% 2% 2% 6% 2% 3% 7% 3% 2% 6% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2%
0 (Definitely will not vote) 6% 5% 5% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%

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Poll details

Full question wording

If there were to be a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?

See About these data for possible variations