If there were to be a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote? (6 response options)

Field work dates: 4 August 2021 - 2 May 2023
Data from: Scotland
Results from: 7 polls

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Results for: If there were to be a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote? (6 response options)
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
2 May 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
1 April 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 March 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 March 2023
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
27 November 2022
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
18 September 2021
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 August 2021
Poll by Redfield & Wilton
5 (Certain to vote)75%69%72%72%78%78%77%
4 (Probably will vote)13%12%14%14%14%11%12%
3 (Leaning towards voting, but might not vote)5%6%5%5%2%5%4%
2 (Leaning towards not voting, but could vote)2%8%3%3%2%3%2%
1 (Probably will not vote)2%1%2%2%1%2%2%
0 (Definitely will not vote)4%4%3%3%2%2%2%

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Full question wording

If there were to be a referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?

See About these data for possible variations