9th December 2013 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
There is some moderately encouraging news for the Yes side in the latest Ipsos MORI poll of referendum voting intentions for STV, released this evening. In what is only the second poll to be conducted since the unveiling of the Independence White Paper, support for Yes amongst those who are certain to vote is put […]
9th December 2013 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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5th December 2013 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The latest TNS BMRB monthly poll of referendum voting intentions is published today. However, it was conducted between 20th and 27th November, largely before the publication of the White Paper on the 26th November. The poll thus does not take us any further forward in ascertaining whether the launch of the White Paper has had […]
1st December 2013 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
There will doubtless be considerable disappointment in the Yes camp at the findings, published today, of the first poll to be conducted since the launch of the independence White Paper on Tuesday. Conducted online between Wednesday and Friday of last week by Progressive Scottish Opinion for the Mail on Sunday, the poll puts the Yes […]
29th November 2013 Scotland Question
Policy issues The Scottish independence referendum
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29th November 2013 Scotland Question
The Scottish independence referendum
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29th November 2013 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
A lot has been written about the newly enfranchised 16-17 year olds who will be able to vote in the referendum on Scotland’s constitutional future in September 2014. Comments range from assertions that they would be used by the SNP to boost the Yes vote to allegations that people so young would have too little […]
25th November 2013 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The publication this week of the Scottish Government’s White Paper on Independence is arguably the most important development in the referendum campaign so far. It is intended to answer the public’s questions about what independence would entail – and to persuade them of the merits of a Yes vote. But how big a task does […]
24th November 2013 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
In what is likely to be the last poll before Tuesday’s independence White Paper, Panelbase (for The Sunday Times and Real Radio) once again present a more optimistic picture for the Yes side than any other pollster. However like everyone else, they also find that the balance of public opinion remains resistant to all attempts […]
7th November 2013 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
‘New poll, no change, polls apart’ has so far been the dominant theme of polls on the independence referendum. Today’s TNS BMRB poll illustrates it perfectly. According to this latest measure, 25% say they will vote Yes next year, 43% No, while as many as 32% say they do not know. The Yes figure is […]