13th September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Survation have this afternoon released the result of a poll it has conducted for the Better Together campaign. Just as yesterday ICM released the results of a poll that had been conducted by phone rather than, as the company had done previously, over the internet, so also today’s poll is a phone poll from a […]
12th September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Earlier today, the Guardian released the findings of a poll conducted for it by ICM. Unlike the polls that ICM have been conducting for Scotland on Sunday and The Scotsman, this poll was conducted over the telephone (using random digit dialing) rather than via an online panel. Not least of the reasons for this approach […]
12th September 2014 Comment
Expectations of constitutional change The Scottish independence referendum
The reporting of polls can sometimes be a curious affair. Only last week a poll from YouGov that put Yes on 47% and No on 53% (after Don’t Knows were excluded) was widely reported as a hammer blow for the No side. Today we have another poll from the same company that puts Yes slightly […]
12th September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, one by ICM, one by Survation, one by TNS BMRB and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 27 August and 11 September. The […]
11th September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on three polls by YouGov, one by Survation, one by TNS BMRB and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 27 August and 11 September. The most recent poll […]
10th September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The polling mystery deepens. Last Sunday YouGov reported that they had identified a swing to Yes for the third poll in a row, while on the very same day Panelbase indicated that nothing had changed at all. Then on Tuesday TNS BMRB agreed with YouGov that there had been a substantial swing to Yes – […]
10th September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, two by Survation, one by TNS BMRB and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 26 August and 9 September.
9th September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
Although both of the polls published on Sunday, one from YouGov and one from Panelbase, suggested that the referendum race was too close to call, they painted a very different picture when it came to how far things had changed. Whereas YouGov were reporting a third poll in a row to register an increase in […]
9th September 2014 Comment
The Scottish independence referendum
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, two by Panelbase, one by TNS BMRB and one by Survation, The polls were conducted between 12 August and 5 September. This is an updated […]
7th September 2014 Comment
Expectations of constitutional change The Scottish independence referendum
Last Tuesday YouGov, hitherto a company that had painted a pessimistic picture of the Yes side’s prospects of winning on 18th September, generated considerable excitement by publishing a poll that showed an eight point swing from No to Yes in just a month. Today they have gone one better by being the first company in […]
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