30th October 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders
Ever since 18 September, Labour have been fretting about the impact the referendum campaign may have had on their prospects north of the border in next May’s Westminster election. Although the party was on the winning side in the referendum, the Yes vote was relatively high in the less affluent and thus more Labour parts […]
17th October 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders
Today TNS BMRB have published their first poll of voters in Scotland since the referendum. As well as giving us an insight into the relative popularity of the ways in which people actually got involved in the referendum campaign, it also provides some evidence on whether the referendum has left a legacy of potentially higher […]
14th October 2014 Comment How England should be governed
The Commons gets its first chance this week to consider the fallout from the Scottish referendum, including a full day’s debate today. Although some of the discussion will be about the hopes and aspirations north of the border for more devolution, there will doubtless be debate too about what changes to the governance of England […]
6th October 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum
The results of a poll conducted by Panelbase for the SNP have gradually been released during the last few days. There are two principal findings of interest. First, it provides further evidence on people’s attitudes towards more devolution. Second, it provides further evidence on the standings of the parties in the Westminster and Holyrood elections […]
2nd October 2014 Comment Elections, parties & leaders
One of the most remarkable features of the referendum result was that supposedly ‘Red’ Clydeside provided three of the four council areas where a majority of voters voted Yes. This has inevitably led some to question whether the link between Labour and its erstwhile ‘traditional’ working class base has been irretrievably broken. Will we find […]
30th September 2014 Comment Expectations of constitutional change How Scotland should be governed
When the Edinburgh Agreement was signed in October 2012, the UK government declared that it would ensure that the independence referendum would be ‘legal, fair and decisive’. Although some supporters of the Yes camp may be doubtful that the referendum was entirely fair (pointing not least to what they perceive to be some biased media […]
26th September 2014 Comment National identity and cultural issues The Scottish independence referendum
One of the common features of political polling is that while a plethora appear in advance of an election or a referendum, nobody bothers to conduct a poll afterwards. For newspapers, the most common commissioners, polls are of interest beforehand because they provide a basis for speculating about what will happen when polling day does […]
19th September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Clearly the most important features of the referendum result are which side won and which lost, and how politicians react and respond to the outcome. But there is also another question to be asked of the result – how well did the polls do and which was closest to the result? Here is a table […]
18th September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Ipsos MORI released the very final poll of the referendum this morning (conducted for the Evening Standard) as voters were already heading for the polls. Conducted over a two day period that ended 24 hours later than the company’s poll for STV that was published last night, it adopted the same methodological tweaks to estimating […]
18th September 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum
Yesterday evening saw the publication of what are almost the final polls of the campaign – there is one more from Ipsos MORI due to appear in today’s Evening Standard. Between them they affirmed the impression created by the polls released on Monday evening that the outcome of the referendum is on a knife-edge but […]
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