A Tale of Two Trends

2nd December 2019 Comment National identity and cultural issues

So far, two Scotland-only polls of vote intentions in the Westminster election on December 12th have been published. One, by Panelbase for Sunday Times Scotland was released in two tranches over the last two weekends. The other, by Ipsos MORI, was published by STV News last Thursday – the first poll from this stable for […]


Can The SNP Meet The Three Conditions For An Independence Yes Vote?

14th October 2019 Comment Elections, parties & leaders How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum

The message from the polls continues to be promising for the SNP, who are gathered this week in Aberdeen for their autumn conference. But the path towards holding a second independence referendum that delivers a majority vote for Yes still potentially contains many sharp corners and diversions. Three conditions are likely to have to be […]








Can Scottish Labour Deliver for Jeremy Corbyn?

8th March 2019 Comment Elections, parties & leaders

Not so long ago, what happened in Scotland appeared immaterial to the outcome of a UK general election. The country was full of safe Labour seats that seemed unlikely to change hands, while the Conservatives appeared unable to do much more than secure the odd crumb.  The prospects for a change in the tenancy of […]


Tough New Questions For The Liberal Democrats?

22nd February 2019 Comment Elections, parties & leaders

In truth, until the events of this week at Westminster, the opening salvo of this spring’s Scottish party conferences – the Liberal Democrat gathering this weekend in Hamilton –  looked as though it would be a rather uninteresting affair.  However, the formation of the new Independent Group of MPs has given the occasion some unexpected […]