Could Devo Maxers Deliver Victory to Mr Salmond?

15th September 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Apart from asking people how they currently think they might vote next year, today’s ICM/ Scotland on Sunday poll also returns to an aspect of the role that the devolution max debate might play in determining the outcome of the independence referendum. This issue was first addressed by aYouGov/Devo Plus poll a fortnight ago. It […]

Is Devolution Keeping Britain Together or Driving It Apart?

10th September 2013 Comment Cross border attitudes How England should be governed Perceptions of government & the Union

According to Lord Robertson, Labour’s Shadow Scottish Secretary during the 1990s, introducing devolution would kill nationalism ‘stone dead’.  In contrast, his former backbench colleague, Tam Dalyell, argued it would prove to be a ‘slippery slope’ towards Scottish independence. With a referendum on Scottish independence due to be held in a year’s time, at the moment […]

Do Lord Ashcroft’s Polls Tell Us Anything New?

9th September 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

One of the ways in which former Tory treasurer, Lord Ashcroft, spends his money these days is on commissioning his own polls and focus groups. Many of them, such as one he released last week on attitudes to immigration, are unusually big. Indeed they are sometimes big enough to permit robust comparison of attitudes in […]

Now the Don’t Knows Have It! New TNS-BMRB Poll

4th September 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

What a week! And it is only half over! On Sunday YouGov told us that Scotland was swinging towards No. On Monday Panelbase advised us that the country was swinging decisively in the Yes camp’s direction.  And, now, what do we learn today from TNS-BMRB? – that far from swinging either Yes or No Scotland […]

SNP/Panelbase Poll Shows One Point Yes Lead

2nd September 2013 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Well, at last we have a referendum poll that is generating some excitement. Hitherto every poll has put the No side ahead, and indeed often (as in Sunday’s YouGov poll for Devo Plus) quite a long way ahead.  Many a commentator has been wondering whether the contest is already all over bar the shouting. But […]

Scottish or British? Does national identity matter?

29th August 2013 Comment

It may seem an obvious thing to say, but it is broadly true that the more Scottish you feel, the more likely you are to vote ‘yes’ in the referendum. According to the 2012 Scottish Social Attitudes survey, about 6 in 10 of those who say they are ‘Scottish not British’ want the Scottish Parliament […]