ICM: Views on the Issues are Proving Difficult to Shift

13th July 2014 Comment How Scotland should be governed

A distinguishing feature of the polls that ICM conduct for Scotland on Sunday is that they repeatedly ask many of the same questions each month. As a result, apart from academic exercises such as the British Election Study, they provide us with a unique insight into how much difference the referendum campaign is making to […]


Poll of Polls: 11 July

13th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by ICM,  two by YouGov, one poll by Survation, and one by TNS BMRB,  The polls were conducted between 9 June and 11 July.


Survation Repeats Its Record High For Yes

11th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

Sometimes there genuinely is more than one way to look at the result of an opinion poll. Apply one criterion and it can look good for one side.  Judge it by another criterion and a different picture is painted. Today’s poll of referendum vote intentions by Survation for the Daily Record is a case in […]


Poll of Polls: 8 July

11th July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov,  one poll by Survation, one poll by TNS BMRB, one poll by ICM, and one by Panelbase, . The polls were conducted between 9 June […]


TNS BMRB Portray a Referendum Campaign Becalmed

6th July 2014 Comment How Scotland should be governed

Today sees the publication of a second poll to be conducted by TNS BMRB for Sir Tom Hunter’s scotlandseptember18.com website, the stated aim of which is to improve the quality of the referendum debate. Much of the poll is thus about people’s perceptions of the quality of that debate and whether they feel adequately informed […]



A Critical Look at Scotland’s Referendum: Special Issue of Scottish Affairs

3rd July 2014 Comment How Scotland should be governed The Scottish independence referendum

The journal Scottish Affairs was first launched not long after the Conservatives had won their fourth consecutive UK general election in 1992. The opening lines of Scottish Affairs, number 1 were delivered by the journal’s editor, Lindsay Paterson: The day after the general election last April, a new bit of graffiti appeared on a wall […]


A Step Backwards for Yes? Latest YouGov Poll

1st July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

It has long been apparent that YouGov are amongst the companies that tend to paint a relatively pessimistic picture of the Yes side’s prospects. But even by the standards of its previous polls, the company’s latest poll, conducted for The Times, must be regarded as a considerable disappointment for those working in the Yes side’s […]


Poll of Polls: 29 June

1st July 2014 Comment The Scottish independence referendum

The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov, one poll by ICM, one poll by Ipsos MORI, one poll by Survation, and one by Panelbase, . The polls were conducted between 26 May […]